Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 707.464979 796.176303 894.999157 1013.860071 1153.751144 1314.157103 1513.435331
2025-02-23 582.297899 700.744377 844.814571 1035.479287 1285.041277 1606.160746 2060.018768
2025-03-02 520.754176 653.813400 825.071388 1066.614773 1406.874022 1882.607321 2623.912540
2025-03-09 470.500715 610.445127 798.734530 1078.251016 1496.660118 2124.622235 3191.665665
2025-03-16 426.697584 568.385946 765.993633 1072.018556 1554.241077 2323.921401 3737.700067
2025-03-23 398.329157 543.559388 752.945776 1090.377682 1648.960970 2596.211871 4479.628788
2025-03-30 361.717626 502.581432 710.813197 1056.745863 1651.785494 2710.660861 4957.234235
2025-04-06 331.381721 467.810387 674.007382 1026.041851 1653.109362 2820.024826 5453.883072
2025-04-13 304.139141 435.257478 637.260746 990.457314 1639.351503 2896.498327 5900.752510
2025-04-20 294.163454 428.389282 640.330111 1022.561988 1754.011469 3249.857871 7117.941306
2025-04-27 281.127449 415.471792 632.073142 1033.240966 1828.697418 3535.662907 8281.209362
2025-05-04 269.588672 403.972768 624.959094 1044.796949 1906.471965 3845.681222 9649.792749
2025-05-11 255.440274 387.614958 608.921661 1039.352353 1951.696722 4100.142405 11013.353077
2025-05-18 247.504987 381.111468 609.584918 1066.463609 2073.036907 4578.608083 13414.774383
2025-05-25 240.885854 376.233276 612.505555 1098.127179 2210.371499 5141.290565 16539.557317
2025-06-01 232.106388 366.904029 606.373513 1110.300055 2304.152366 5613.699610 19702.452173
2025-06-08 221.669516 353.902038 592.252720 1103.816647 2350.995978 5963.121207 22635.079480
2025-06-15 215.183923 347.510634 590.086436 1122.880641 2466.700343 6570.181587 27530.881472
2025-06-22 202.950702 329.907807 564.899480 1087.963122 2433.653865 6673.911948 29722.937255
2025-06-29 191.994817 314.048065 542.053667 1056.095857 2404.151477 6784.342100 32126.442584
2025-07-06 181.280220 298.083376 517.987073 1019.175676 2355.236639 6813.361562 34071.865897
2025-07-13 178.641861 297.046302 523.702423 1052.484777 2513.196583 7682.055685 43553.586349
2025-07-20 173.892966 291.720327 520.274318 1063.566830 2608.416121 8348.089944 52823.378977